|
 |
How Does The Reserve
Bank Set Interest
Rates?
|
The Reserve Bank of
Australia (RBA) is an
independent body that
determines the direction of
interest rates based on a
number of economic factors.
As stated by the RBA their
main aims are as follows:
"The Reserve Bank of
Australia's (RBA) main
responsibility is monetary
policy. Policy decisions are
made by the Reserve Bank
Board, with the objective of
achieving low and stable
inflation over the medium
term. Other major areas are
maintaining financial system
stability and promoting the
safety and efficiency of the
payments system. The Bank is
an active participant in
financial markets, manages
Australia's foreign
reserves, issues currency
notes and serves banker to
the Australian Government"
When determining interest
rates the RBA
considers the following
Inflation
Defined as the increase in
the prices of goods and
services.
The higher rate of inflation
the faster the purchasing
power of consumers erodes -
what a dollar buys you
becomes less and less as
inflation increases.
Inflation is what really
influences the changes of
Official interest rates.
The RBA generally likes to
keep inflation between the
2-3% mark, however, this may
change as a result of
international pressures.
Generally, if inflation is
seen to be increasing at a
rate that is
disproportionate to the
health of the economy - or
basically growing faster
than it can sustain - then
official rates may be raised
to in order to reduce
consumer spending and slow
down the economy.
Alternatively, if inflation
is not increasing at a
healthy rate, the official
rate may be lowered to give
a boost to the economy.
Unemployment Rate
Measures the % of the
workforce that is currently
employed which is measured
monthly
Higher unemployment means
that business confidence is
low which may be a result of
a slowing economy. This may
result in stable or
decreasing official rates.
Consumer Price Index
Measures the change in the
prices of a fixed basket of
goods and services which can
be categorised as normal
day-to-day household
purchases such as milk,
bread, petrol etc.
This is quoted as a
percentage monthly change
and considered as a
benchmark for changes in
inflation.
If prices of up or remain
strong suggests a strong
economy. If prices
rise quickly means inflation
is on the rise and the RBA
may consider raising
official interest rates
Retail Sales
Measures the change in
monthly retail sales based
on figures received by
retailers.
If sales are down, it is
generally sign that consumer
spending / sentiment is down
which may be the signs of a
slowing economy and vice
versa.
Although the above factors
are determinants in the
direction of interest rates,
it is not an exhaustive list
and the RBA also looks at
global and local economic
trends to determine how
interest rates will move.
|